Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Texas Tech 100.0%   3   26 - 6 14 - 4 26 - 6 14 - 4 +18.2      +6.2 36 +12.0 1 66.1 246 +17.8 12 +18.8 2
16 Iowa St. 100.0%   5   23 - 11 9 - 9 23 - 11 9 - 9 +15.2      +10.5 10 +4.7 61 69.3 157 +13.7 26 +11.7 5
17 Kansas 100.0%   4   25 - 9 12 - 6 25 - 9 12 - 6 +15.1      +6.3 35 +8.8 14 73.7 69 +17.5 13 +16.0 3
21 Kansas St. 100.0%   5   25 - 8 14 - 4 25 - 8 14 - 4 +14.6      +3.4 83 +11.2 4 61.0 337 +16.1 18 +19.4 1
30 Texas 31.9%   16 - 16 8 - 10 16 - 16 8 - 10 +12.5      +7.2 23 +5.3 47 63.2 320 +9.7 55 +10.7 6
34 Oklahoma 86.9%   9   19 - 13 7 - 11 19 - 13 7 - 11 +11.5      +4.2 67 +7.3 20 72.2 92 +12.0 34 +9.4 8
40 Baylor 95.8%   8   19 - 13 10 - 8 19 - 13 10 - 8 +11.0      +6.9 26 +4.2 69 64.4 292 +10.7 45 +13.6 4
47 TCU 61.9%   10   20 - 13 7 - 11 20 - 13 7 - 11 +10.5      +4.7 54 +5.7 42 71.4 107 +10.9 41 +9.5 7
79 Oklahoma St. 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 13 12 - 20 5 - 13 +6.2      +3.8 76 +2.4 109 65.8 263 +6.4 82 +7.0 9
82 West Virginia 0.0%   14 - 20 4 - 14 14 - 20 4 - 14 +6.0      +3.9 74 +2.0 117 74.2 62 +6.6 79 +5.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Tech 1.0 100.0
Iowa St. 5.0 100.0
Kansas 3.0 100.0
Kansas St. 1.0 100.0
Texas 6.0 100.0
Oklahoma 7.0 100.0
Baylor 4.0 100.0
TCU 7.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 9.0 100.0
West Virginia 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Tech 14 - 4 100.0
Iowa St. 9 - 9 100.0
Kansas 12 - 6 100.0
Kansas St. 14 - 4 100.0
Texas 8 - 10 100.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 100.0
Baylor 10 - 8 100.0
TCU 7 - 11 100.0
Oklahoma St. 5 - 13 100.0
West Virginia 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Tech 100.0% 100.0
Iowa St.
Kansas
Kansas St. 100.0% 100.0
Texas
Oklahoma
Baylor
TCU
Oklahoma St.
West Virginia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.7 15.4 51.4 28.8 1.7 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5   0.2 4.0 32.0 46.0 17.7 0.1
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.5 7.4 48.4 40.5 3.3 0.0 100.0%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.1 4.3 30.0 47.9 16.4 1.4 0.0 100.0%
Texas 31.9% 0.0% 31.9% 0.6 8.4 10.0 10.1 2.8 0.0 68.1 31.9%
Oklahoma 86.9% 0.0% 86.9% 9   0.0 6.4 29.8 31.0 16.9 2.8 0.0 13.1 86.9%
Baylor 95.8% 0.0% 95.8% 8   0.1 11.2 44.9 29.5 9.5 0.6 4.2 95.8%
TCU 61.9% 0.0% 61.9% 10   0.1 3.0 9.8 24.0 22.9 2.1 38.1 61.9%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.6% 63.5% 30.7% 14.1% 6.0% 2.4%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 71.1% 33.7% 12.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 84.6% 48.7% 17.3% 5.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 75.0% 37.7% 11.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Texas 31.9% 0.7% 31.6% 16.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 86.9% 0.4% 86.8% 43.5% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Baylor 95.8% 0.1% 95.7% 47.4% 7.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
TCU 61.9% 11.5% 56.5% 22.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.8 0.1 3.6 30.8 51.0 14.6
1st Round 100.0% 6.7 0.1 4.0 34.0 49.1 12.8
2nd Round 100.0% 4.5 0.0 0.4 3.1 14.4 30.4 32.8 15.6 3.1 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 95.8% 2.1 4.2 24.6 39.1 24.8 6.4 0.9 0.0
Elite Eight 60.6% 0.8 39.4 43.9 14.5 2.0 0.2 0.0
Final Four 27.7% 0.3 72.3 25.3 2.4 0.0
Final Game 10.6% 0.1 89.4 10.4 0.2
Champion 3.8% 0.0 96.3 3.8